Paradoxes
The Friendship Paradox: Your Friends Have More Friends Than You
Thought Experiments
The Doomsday Argument: Is My Being Here Evidence of the End?
Paradoxes
The Inspection Paradox: Waiting Longer for a 10-Minute Bus
Laws & Principles
Benford's Law: Why Numbers Start With 1 So Often
Laws & Principles
Zipf's Law: Why #2 Is Half of #1, Everywhere
Cognitive Biases
Base Rate Neglect: When the Type Beats the Statistics
Cognitive Biases
The Gambler's Fallacy: Why 'It's Due' Is Just Wrong
Cognitive Biases
Regression to the Mean: Did Scolding Really Help?
Cognitive Biases
Survivorship Bias: Judging the World by Winners Alone
Strategic Thinking
Bayesian Inference: Updating Beliefs With Evidence
Paradoxes
Berkson's Paradox: How Selection Creates Fake Links
Paradoxes
The Birthday Paradox: 23 People, 50% Odds of a Match
Paradoxes
The False Positive Paradox: A Positive Test, Still Healthy
Paradoxes
Simpson's Paradox — Winning Every Group but Losing Overall